keskiviikko 3. syyskuuta 2008

Suosittelen: Peter Lavelles Blog

Olen Georgian kriisin aikana surffaillut paljonkin Russia Today sivustolla. Löysin sieltä mielenkiintoisen blogin missä tuodaan aika selkeästi esiin Venäjän näkemyksiä - sanoisiko jotenkin melko aidolla ja suoralla tavalla. Tässä uusimmassa blogissaan Peter Lavelle kirjaa selkeästi ne tekijät joita länsivallat ja nimeomaan EU ei näytä haluavan tunnustaa.

Kirjoituksen otsikko on "The EU doesn´t get Russia" eli EU ei näytä tajuavan Venäjää.

Itse arvelen että kyllä EU:n jäsenvaltioiden kerma tasan tarkkaan tajuaa Venäjän - mutta näillä on Nato-poliittinen tarkoitus olla tuomatta tätä julkisuudessa julki. Toinen syy on israelilaisten lobby.
Näistä syistä on toimittu hyvin yksipuolisesti ja tehtailtu julistuksia toinen toisensa perään jotka tuomitsevat vain Venäjän (yllättävän) puolustusreaktion eikä syytä tähän reaktioon. Syy on Saakasvilissä. Ilmeisesti hänen päivänsä Georgian presidenttinä ovat luetut.

Mutta palatakseni aiheeseen - Peter Lavellen blogissa oli muutama hyvä pointti:

First, Russia was never really expected to recover (politically, economically, or militarily) from the Soviet collapse. And if it did, Russia would be squarely under the heavy influence of the EU and the U.S. Russia’s democracy and embrace of capitalism was supposed to protect and advance the West’s global agenda. For reasons that I have mentioned before, this of course didn’t happen.

Second, post-Soviet Russia’s security interests have never been seriously recognised. This has been a very grave mistake. Russia has not and will not aspire to superpower status again. The Soviet-world system cost Russia and Russians greatly. The Kremlin of today has never given any serious thought of returning to the global confrontation with the West known as the Cold War. Russia simply wants its legitimate security interests recognised and respected. At the moment this has been translated into the demand that Russia will caveat its regional security and protect Russian citizens beyond Russia’s borders. The EU (the U.S. and NATO) grossly miscalculated on this score. Russia is indeed interested in its neighbourhood.

Third, the EU recklessly expanded eastward without serious consideration of just who was inducted into the club. The origins of the EU were based on reconciliation of former enemies. The French and Germans today refrain from using history when discussing current political problems. That can’t be said of the Poles and the Baltic states. They spoil for a fight with Russia every chance possible. And they want to drag the EU into these fights. This damages the Russia-EU relationship to the point that it is seriously dysfunctional and hence the press conference of today in Brussels.

Fourth, the EU very much likes to see itself as a fair broker. Indeed, Russia was hoping that the EU would play such a role on the international stage. However, the EU has squandered this idealised role with its support of the Saakashvili regime. The EU moralises about the rule of law and human rights. When has it ever spoken out about Saakashvili’s illegal war and the gross violation of human rights for the South Ossetians and Abkhazians? Russia feels a deep-seated sense of betrayal.

Fifth, the EU for some odd reason believes its “grand morality” play should somehow translate into real political power. This is short-sighted. In the eyes of Russia, the EU protects the rights of member countries that abuse the rights of ethnic Russians living with the EU (like in the Baltic states). The EU is deluding itself. It wrongly thinks of itself as being morally superior to Russia and Russians. This is still another grave mistake.

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